Top PMs don't pick sides. They hold TWO opposite beliefs at the same time. Not "sometimes this, sometimes that." BOTH. Always. This sounds contradictory. But it's the secret to making great product decisions.

Steve Saper
Founder & CEO of PM33. Building the agentic-PM platform and writing about how product management is being remade in the AI era.

(Continuing from Parts 1-2: What gets PMs promoted and what keeps them stuck)
After analyzing 320+ successful PMs, I found something surprising. Top PMs don't pick sides. They hold TWO opposite beliefs at the same time. Not "sometimes this, sometimes that." BOTH. Always.
This sounds contradictory. But it's actually the secret to making great product decisions.
Junior PM thinking: "Let's wait for more data before deciding."
Top PM thinking: "The data says X. My gut says Y. Let me explain what both are telling me and make a decision that accounts for both."
They don't pick between data and intuition. They use BOTH to make better decisions.
Junior PM thinking: "Customers asked for feature X, so we're building feature X."
Top PM thinking: "Customers described problem Y. We're solving it with solution Z that they never imagined."
They listen to customers AND push them toward a better future. They understand the REAL problem behind the request.
Junior PM thinking: "Ship fast OR build it right. We have to pick one."
Top PM thinking: "We're shipping fast AND building for the future. Here's how we're doing both."
They don't trade off. They find ways to do both.
At my company, we had a feature with 40% adoption. Pretty good, right?
The data said: "Feature X has 40% adoption. Keep it."
My gut said: "The 40% who use it HATE it. Kill it."
These seemed like opposite conclusions. But both were right.
The decision: Kill the feature.
The result: Customer satisfaction jumped 18 points in 2 months.
Here's what was happening: The data measured usage. My gut was picking up on sentiment. Both were true - it had high usage AND people hated being forced to use it.
Junior PMs pick sides:
Top PMs hold complexity:
This ability to hold tension is what senior leadership looks for. Can you hold complexity? Can you avoid false dichotomies?
Next time you face a decision between two things:
Resist the urge to choose sides. Don't say "we're a data-driven company" or "we trust our gut."
This is the hard part. It requires creativity and effort. But it leads to better decisions.
Example:
Watch out for these:
Holding both is uncomfortable. It creates tension. It's easier to pick a side.
But that tension is valuable. It forces you to think harder and find better solutions.
Junior PMs resolve tension by picking a side. Top PMs sit in the tension and find creative solutions.
When you're interviewing for senior PM roles, they're testing for this:
They ask: "How do you balance data and intuition?"
Bad answer: "I'm very data-driven. I always wait for data."
Good answer: "I use both. Data tells me what's happening. Intuition tells me why and what to do about it. Here's an example where I used both..."
They want to see that you can hold complexity.
The ONLY 3 frameworks you actually need. I analyzed 320+ successful PMs. They all use the same 3 frameworks (not 47, not 15 - just 3).
Question for the community: Which tension is hardest for you to hold? Data vs. Gut? Customer vs. Vision? Short-term vs. Long-term?